| Document Type
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BL
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| Record Number
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1017515
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| Doc. No
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b771885
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| Main Entry
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Nickerson, Raymond S.
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| Title & Author
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Cognition and chance : : the psychology of probabilistic reasoning /\ Raymond S. Nickerson.
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| Publication Statement
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Mahwah, N.J. :: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates,, 2004.
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| Page. NO
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1 online resource (xi, 520 pages) :: illustrations
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| ISBN
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0805848983
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: 0805848991
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: 1410610837
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: 9780805848984
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: 9780805848991
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: 9781410610836
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| Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references (pages 439-488) and indexes.
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| Contents
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Preface; 1. Probability and Chance; 2. Randomness; 3. Coincidences; 4. Inverse Probability and the Reverend Tnomas Bayes; 5. Some Instructive Problems; 6. Some Probability Paradoxes and Dilemmas; 7. Statistics; 8. Estimation and Prediction; 9. Perception of Covariation and Contingency; 10. Choice under Uncertainty; 11. People as Intuitive Probabilists; 12. Concluding Comments; References; Author Index; Subject Index.
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| Abstract
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An overview of the information needed to make educated assumptions about the statistical or probabilistic characteristics of a situation, this text shows how to make intelligent assessments of risk, enhance decision making under uncertainty, facilitate the understanding of statistical information and critically evaluate the likelihood of claims.
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| Subject
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Probabilities.
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| Subject
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Reasoning (Psychology)
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Risk assessment.
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MATHEMATICS-- Probability Statistics-- General.
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Probabilities.
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Reasoning (Psychology)
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Risk assessment.
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| Dewey Classification
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519.2
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| LC Classification
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BC141.N53 2004eb
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