Document Type
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BL
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Record Number
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1038603
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Doc. No
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b792973
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Title & Author
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Dangerous thresholds : : managing escalation in the 21st century /\ Forrest E. Morgan [and others].
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Publication Statement
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Santa Monica, CA :: RAND Project Air Force,, 2008.
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Series Statement
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Rand Corporation monograph series
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Page. NO
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1 online resource (xxvii, 245 pages) :: illustrations, maps.
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ISBN
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0833046365
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: 1282033212
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: 6612033215
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: 9780833046369
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: 9781282033214
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: 9786612033216
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0833042130
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9780833042132
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Notes
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"MG-614-AF"--Page 4 of cover.
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"Prepared for the United States Air Force."
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Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references (pages 225-245).
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Abstract
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"Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--Jacket.
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Subject
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Conflict management.
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Subject
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Escalation (Military science)
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Subject
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Security, International.
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Subject
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World politics-- 21st century.
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Subject
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Conflict management.
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Subject
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Escalation (Military science)
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Subject
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HISTORY-- Military-- Other.
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Subject
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POLITICAL SCIENCE-- Comparative Politics.
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Subject
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Security, International.
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Subject
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TECHNOLOGY ENGINEERING-- Military Science.
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Subject
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World politics.
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Dewey Classification
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355.02
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LC Classification
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U21.2.D266 2008eb
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Added Entry
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Morgan, Forrest E.
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Added Entry
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United States., Air Force.
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Project Air Force (U.S.)
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