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" Chances are-- : "
Michael Kaplan and Ellen Kaplan.
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BL
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| Record Number
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1048126
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| Doc. No
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b802496
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| Main Entry
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Kaplan, Michael.
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| Title & Author
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Chances are-- : : adventures in probability /\ Michael Kaplan and Ellen Kaplan.
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| Publication Statement
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New York, N.Y. :: Penguin Books,, 2007.
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| Page. NO
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319 pages :: illustrations ;; 25 cm
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| ISBN
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0143038346
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: 9780143038344
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| Notes
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Includes index.
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Originally published: Viking, 2006.
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| Contents
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Thinking -- Discovering -- Elaborating -- Gambling -- Securing -- Figuring -- Healing -- Judging -- Predicting -- Fighting -- Being.
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| Abstract
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A layman's journey into the realm of probability. We search for certainty, but find only likelihood. All things are possible, only one thing actually happens; everything else is in the realm of probability. The twin disciplines of probability and statistics underpin every modern science and sketch the shape of all purposeful group activity--politics, economics, medicine, law, sports--giving humans a handle on the essential uncertainty of their existence. Yet while we are all aware of the hard facts, most of us still refuse to take account of probability--preferring to drive, not fly; buying into market blips; smoking cigarettes; denying we will ever age. There are some people, though--gamblers, risk buyers, forensic experts, doctors, strategists--who find probability's mass of incomplete uncertainties delightful and revelatory. This book is their story.--From publisher description.
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| Subject
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Probabilities.
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Probabilities.
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| Dewey Classification
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519.2
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| LC Classification
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QA273.15.K37 2007
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| Added Entry
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Kaplan, Ellen,1936-
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