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" The science of conjecture : "
James Franklin.
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BL
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| Record Number
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635048
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dltt
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| Main Entry
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Franklin, James,1953-
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| Title & Author
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The science of conjecture : : evidence and probability before Pascal /\ James Franklin.
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| Publication Statement
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Baltimore :: Johns Hopkins University Press,, c2001.
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| Page. NO
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xiii, 497 p. ;; 25 cm.
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| ISBN
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0801865697 (alk. paper)
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: 9780801865695 (alk. paper)
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: 0801871093
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: 9780801871092
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| Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references and index.
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| Contents
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1. The Ancient Law of Proof -- 2. The Medieval Law of Evidence: Suspicion, Half-proof, and Inquisition -- 3. Renaissance Law -- 4. The Doubting Conscience and Moral Certainty -- 5. Rhetoric, Logic, Theory -- 6. Hard Science -- 7. Soft Science and History -- 8. Philosophy: Action and Induction -- 9. Religion: Laws of God, Laws of Nature -- 10. Aleatory Contracts: Insurance, Annuities, and Bets -- 11. Dice -- 12. Conclusion -- Epilogue: The Survival of Unquantified Probability -- Appendix: Review of Work on Probability before 1660.
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| Abstract
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"In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. Sometimes this type of reasoning avoided numbers entirely, as in the legal standard of "proof beyond a reasonable doubt"; at other times it involved rough numerical estimates, such as gambling odds or the level of risk in chance events. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty."--Jacket.
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| Subject
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Probabilities-- History.
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Evidence-- History.
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| LC Classification
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QA273.A4F73 2001
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