| Document Type
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BL
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| Record Number
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635446
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| Doc. No
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dltt
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| Main Entry
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Fingar, Thomas
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| Title & Author
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Reducing uncertainty : : intelligence analysis and national security /\ Thomas Fingar
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| Publication Statement
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Stanford, California :: Stanford Security Studies,, ©2011
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| Page. NO
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xii, 176 pages ;; 24 cm
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| ISBN
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9780804775939 (pbk. : alk. paper)
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: 0804775931 (pbk. : alk. paper)
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: 9780804775946 (pbk. : alk. paper)
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: 080477594X (pbk. : alk. paper)
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| Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references and index
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| Contents
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Reducing uncertainty -- Myths, fears, and expectations -- Spies collect data, analysts provide insight -- Using intelligence to anticipate and shape the future -- Estimative analysis : what it is, what it isn't, and how to read it -- A tale of two estimates -- Epilogue : lessons and challenges
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| Abstract
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This book provides a description of the role of intelligence analysis in the making of national security decisions in the U.S. government. The author covers how analysts do their job, how they are affected by the political context, and why they pay more attention to warning about potential threats than to providing input that might increase the likelihood of positive developments
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| Subject
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Intelligence service-- United States
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| Subject
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National security-- United States
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| Dewey Classification
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327.1273
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| LC Classification
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JK468.I6F56 2011
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