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" Risk dilemmas : "
Mark Jablonowski.
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BL
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| Record Number
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785921
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| Doc. No
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b605936
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| Main Entry
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Mark Jablonowski.
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| Title & Author
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Risk dilemmas : : forced choices and survival\ Mark Jablonowski.
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| Publication Statement
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New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008. ©2007
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| Page. NO
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137 pages : illustrations ; 22 cm
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| ISBN
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0230538711
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: 9780230538719
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| Contents
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A review of high-stakes risk criteria. Formalizing risky decisions. The expected value criterion. Decision criteria when probability is unknown, or irrelevant. Conditions of indifference between fatalism and precaution. A fuzzy representation of danger --; Finding alternatives to risk. The preactionary approach. Identifying alternatives using backcasting. Backcasting under uncertainty. Backcasting versus backtracking. Maintaining the balance of life. Contrasting the "post-fact" approach. Cost/ benefit and post-fact risk management. Avoiding mechanistic precaution. Risk acceptance --; risk avoidance --; risk anticipation --; Risk avoidance : all or nothing. How risk grows. Why prioritization fails. Pragmatic arguments for not adding risks. Satisfying the burden of proof. A possibilistic model of catastrophic potentials. Is there a "natural" level of risk. On the notion of "selective fatalism." Selective fatalism and dilemmas. The "tolerability" compromise --; Precaution in context. The hallmarks of precaution. Context and risk acceptance criteria. The problem of valuation. Inter-contextual effects of precaution. Alternatives assessment across contexts. The need for coordinated goals. A reassessment of risk assesssment. Using risk assessments the right way. Identifying high-stakes risks and their mechanisms. Decision theoretic models. Integrating fuzzy risk thresholds --; Can we avoid risk dilemmas? The only two options. Facing the paradox of progress. Risk dilemmas and self-interest. The prospect of "infinite disutility." The need for a wider approach to science. Radical rethinking. Science to the rescue? The dangers of giving up --; Summary and conclusion (of sorts). Understanding high-stakes decision processes. Making precaution work. How do current regimes compare? Doing the right thing. Who will lead the way?
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| Subject
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Emergency management.
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| Subject
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Risk management.
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| LC Classification
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HD61.M375 9999
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| Added Entry
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Mark Jablonowski
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