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" Popular participation and political violence "
Gregory Wallsworth
Ahlin, Christian R.
Document Type
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Latin Dissertation
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Language of Document
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English
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Record Number
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803940
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Doc. No
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TL48749
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Call number
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1793942206; 10108932
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Main Entry
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Baptiste, Jeanne P.
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Title & Author
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Popular participation and political violence\ Gregory WallsworthAhlin, Christian R.
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College
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Michigan State University
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Date
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2016
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Degree
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Ph.D.
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field of study
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Economics - Doctor of Philosophy
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student score
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2016
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Page No
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129
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Note
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Committee members: Conlin, Michael; Jeitschko, Thomas; Thomas, Jakana
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Note
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Place of publication: United States, Ann Arbor; ISBN=978-1-339-72266-5
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Abstract
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The first essay “Protest: Onset and (De)Escalation” argues that the literature on Civil Conflict has reached a point of maturity in identifying the correlates of conflict; however, the risk factors for conflict are far more common than conflict itself. Even when underlying conditions appear similar, as for the countries impacted by the Arab Spring, diverse outcomes can arise. By modeling the escalation process and incorporating protest as a signal to the government and potential dissidents in society, this paper shows how similar starting conditions can lead to protest, government concessions, or even civil war. This paper also contributes to understanding the relationship between repression and dissent. We argue that repression may reduce overall dissent, but cause dissent that occurs to become more violent. Finally, we examine some predictions of the model; this is done by complementing traditional conflict data from Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) with data on protest from the Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD). The analysis finds support for two key predictions in the model: the likelihood of a concession increases with protest size, and a non-monotonic relationship between protest size and the probability of escalation to conflict.
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Subject
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African Studies; Economic theory; Political science
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Descriptor
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Social sciences;Political violence;Popular participation
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Added Entry
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Ahlin, Christian R.
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Added Entry
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Economics - Doctor of PhilosophyMichigan State University
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