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" The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility "
Eleonora Mattiacci
Braumoeller, Bear F.
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Latin Dissertation
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| Language of Document
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English
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| Record Number
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805164
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| Doc. No
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TL50013
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| Call number
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2194872124; 13840216
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| Main Entry
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Nayak, Jwalit J.
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| Title & Author
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The Determinants of Foreign Policy Volatility\ Eleonora MattiacciBraumoeller, Bear F.
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| College
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The Ohio State University
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| Date
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2014
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| Degree
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Ph.D.
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| field of study
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Political Science
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2014
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| Page No
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265
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| Note
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Committee members: Box-Steffensmeier, Janet; Braumoeller, Bear; Keele, Luke; Nooruddin, Irfan
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| Note
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Place of publication: United States, Ann Arbor; ISBN=978-0-438-88424-3
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| Abstract
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To the casual observer of international relations, countries like the United States appear to always neatly classify other countries as either allies (e.g., Canada) or enemies (Iran). Yet there exists a sizable subset of states—India and Pakistan among them—whose relations are volatile, in that their foreign policy toward one another shifts inconsistently between episodes of intense cooperation and episodes of bitter violence. Volatile relations are dangerous, because these inconsistent shifts increase states' uncertainty over their opponent's intentions, thus increasing the likelihood of violence. What are the determinants of volatility in foreign policy? I advance a theory of volatility that integrates dynamics at the domestic and at the international level. I argue that volatility is the outcome of the interaction between the presence of domestic institutions that respond to multiple and heterogeneous interests and a state's relative power preponderance in the international system. I posit two distinct causal mechanism as operating at the two levels: a redistributive one at the domestic level and an availability one at the international level. I test this theory using originally collected event data on the interactions between rivals in the years 1948–2009.
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| Subject
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International Relations; Political science
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| Descriptor
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Social sciences;Domestic constituency;Event data;Foreign policy;Military power;Time series
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| Added Entry
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Braumoeller, Bear F.
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Political ScienceThe Ohio State University
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