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BL
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| Record Number
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861207
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| Main Entry
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Lippert, Tyler H.
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| Title & Author
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NATO, climate change, and international security : : a risk governance approach /\ Tyler H. Lippert.
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| Publication Statement
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Cham, Switzerland :: Palgrave Macmillan,, [2019]
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, ©2019
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| Page. NO
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1 online resource
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| ISBN
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3030145603
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: 9783030145606
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9783030145590
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| Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references and index.
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| Contents
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Intro; Contents; 1 Introduction; Introduction; Increasing Importance; Research Aims and Objectives; Abbreviations; Scope of the Analysis; Overview of the Book; 2 Literature Review; Introduction; Climate Change and Security Consequences; Weakened States; What Are the Implications?; Critical Aspects of Climate Change; The Critical Role of the Arctic; Trans-boundary and International Risk; Empirical Models of Climate Security; Critique and Discussion of the Empirical Literature; Conclusions; 3 Taking Stock of the Situation: NATO; Introduction; NATO's Big Picture-What Future?
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Historical Development and Transformation of NATONATO, Climate, and the Environment; NATO and Middle East/North Africa; NATO and the Arctic; Creation of NATO's Emerging Security Challenges Division; NATO Foresight Efforts: The Future Security Environment; NATO ACT Strategic Foresight Analysis; NATO ACT-Framework for Future Alliance Operations; Instability Situations-(Hazards); Access and Use of Global Commons Challenged; Disruptive Impact of Mass Migration; Large-Scale Disaster; Review & Critique of the Instability Situations
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NATO in the Context of a New EnvironmentThe Potential for Confoundedness; Conclusions; 5 A Risk Governance Case Study; Introduction; Phase 1: Pre-assessment; Risk (or, Problem) Framing; Early Warning; Screening; Scientific Conventions; NATO's Ability to Perform Pre-assessment; Phase 2: Risk Appraisal; Risk Assessment; Complexity; Uncertainty; Ambiguity; Concern Assessment; NATO's Ability to Perform Risk Appraisal; Phase 3: Tolerability and Acceptability Judgment; Risk Characterization and Evaluation: Climate and Security for NATO; Risk Characterization; Risk Evaluation
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NATO's Ability to Perform Tolerability and AcceptabilityPhase 4: Risk Management; NATO's Ability to Perform Risk Management; Risk Communication; NATO's Ability to Perform Risk Communication; Conclusions; 6 Major Findings; Introduction; Findings: Climate Change and International Security: NATO's Risk Governance; Pre-assessment; Framing Climate Security Risk; Risk Appraisal; Risk Characterization and Evaluation (Tolerability Judgment); Risk Management; Recommendations: A Basis for Prospective Risk Management Options; Adaptation; Mitigation; Discussion: Assessment of the IRGC Framework
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To What Extent Do the NATO ACT Instability Situations Represent NATO Perspective?Conclusions; 4 Methodology and Context; Introduction; Why Risk Governance? NATO and Climate Security Risk; The IRGC Risk Governance Framework; Summary of Characteristics: NATO, Climate Security, and Risk Governance; Previous Application of the IRGC Risk Governance Framework; Risk Governance: Institutions and Context; The Institutional Structures; Climate Policies and Plans: NATO Militaries and Defense Ministries; The Context of NATO Decision-Making: Consensus and the Silence Procedure
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| Abstract
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This book offers a prospective analysis of the anticipated security consequences of climate change in relation to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). Using climate and security literature to complement recent foresight and scenario analysis developed by NATO, the author applies the International Risk Governance Council's (IRGC) Risk Governance Framework to identify the considerations and actions that could assist NATO in a context where climate and environmental factors more intensively shape security. Tyler Lippert explores how climate change has the potential to increase the need for humanitarian assistance and disaster response, to create tension over shared resources, to renew and enhance geo-political interest in the Arctic, and to deepen concern with respect to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). Within this new political and environmental reality, NATO must consider how to adapt to meet new demands, prepare for new security challenges, as well as manage unforeseen consequences. Offering a corrective, this book identifies near-term actions for NATO to improve its risk governance posture, providing a basis upon which longer-range policy considerations can be developed. This analysis is only the opening salvo of what is likely to be a complicated process that spans many years, if not decades. However, in mapping the risk governance dimensions to the security and climate nexus from the perspective of NATO, Lippert provides a foundation for risk-based policy planning for NATO. The book will be of immense value to policy and decision makers: NATO leadership and its affiliated organizations as well as to academics across a broad span of subject areas, particularly environmental sociology, defense and foreign policy, and the political sciences. Tyler H. Lippert earned a Ph. D. from the RAND Graduate School in Santa Monica, California, USA where he conducted policy research and analysis for RAND Corporation. He also holds a J.D. from Northwestern University School of Law, USA. Tyler served as the Editor in Chief of the Northwestern Journal of International Law & Business, and served in a variety of roles throughout Africa, the Middle East, and Europe, and on multiple occasions with the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).--
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| Subject
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North Atlantic Treaty Organization.
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North Atlantic Treaty Organization.
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| Subject
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Climatic changes-- Political aspects-- 21st century.
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Security, International-- Environmental aspects-- 21st century.
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BUSINESS ECONOMICS-- Infrastructure.
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Climatic changes-- Political aspects.
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Security, International-- Environmental aspects.
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| Subject
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SOCIAL SCIENCE-- General.
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| Dewey Classification
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363.73874
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| LC Classification
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QC903
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