| Document Type
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BL
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| Record Number
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892102
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| Title & Author
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Subjective probability /\ edited by George Wright and Peter Ayton.
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| Publication Statement
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Chichester ;New York :: Wiley,, ©1994.
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| Page. NO
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xx, 574 pages :: illustrations ;; 24 cm
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| ISBN
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0471944432
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: 9780471944430
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| Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references and index.
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| Contents
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Ch. 1. Foundations / Dennis Lindley -- Ch. 2. Qualitative Theory of Subjective Probability / Patrick Suppes -- Ch. 3. Probability, Uncertainty and the Practice of Statistics / Colin Howson and Peter Urbach -- Ch. 4. The Subjective Aspect of Probability / Glenn Shafer -- Ch. 5. On the Necessity of Probability: Reasons to Believe and Grounds for Doubt / John Fox -- Ch. 6. Laboratory Studies of Subjective Probability: a Status Report / Lee Roy Beach and Gary P. Braun -- Ch. 7. Why the Distinction between Single-event Probabilities and Frequencies is Important for Psychology (and Vice Versa) / Gerd Gigerenzer -- Ch. 8. Subjective Probability: What Should We Believe? / Peter Ayton and George Wright -- Ch. 9. Applying a Cognitive Perspective to Probability Construction / Shawn P. Curley and P. George Benson -- Ch. 10. Variants of Subjective Probabilities; Concepts, Norms, and Biases / Karl Halvor Teigen.
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Ch. 11. The Origins of Probability Judgment; a Review of Data and Theories / Valerie F. Reyna and Charles J. Brainerd -- Ch. 12. Ambiguous Probabilities and the Paradoxes of Expected Utility / Jonathan Baron and Deborah Frisch -- Ch. 13. Risk Perception: Main Issues, Approaches and Findings / Wibecke Brun -- Ch. 14. Relations between Confidence and Skilled Performance / Nigel Harvey -- Ch. 15. The Ups and Downs of the Hope Function in a Fruitless Search / Ruma Falk, Abigail Lipson and Clifford Konold -- Ch. 16. Subjective Probability Accuracy Analysis / J. Frank Yates -- Ch. 17. Discrete Subjective Probabilities and Decision Analysis: Elicitation, Calibration and Combination / William R. Ferrell -- Ch. 18. The Calibration of Subjective Probabilities: Theories and Models 1980-94 / Alastair G. R. McClelland and Fergus Bolger -- Ch. 19. The Rationality of Gambling: Gamblers' Conceptions of Probability, Chance and Luck / Gideon Keren.
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Ch. 20. Uncertainty and Subjective Probability in AI Systems / Paul J. Krause and Dominic A. Clark -- Ch. 21. The Subjective Probability of Guilt / Willem A. Wagenaar -- Ch. 22. Probabilistic Planning and Scenario Planning / Kees van der Heijden.
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| Abstract
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This overview of subjective probability ranges from discussion of the philosophy of axiom systems through studies in the psychological laboratory to the real world of business decision-making.
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| Subject
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Probabilities.
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| Subject
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Social sciences-- Statistical methods.
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| Subject
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Subjectivity.
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| Subject
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Aufsatzsammlung
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Inferencia parametrica.
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| Subject
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Management and Business Administration.
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| Subject
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Probabilities.
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Social sciences-- Statistical methods.
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| Subject
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Sozialwissenschaften
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| Subject
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Statistik
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| Subject
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Subjectivity.
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| Subject
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Subjektive Wahrscheinlichkeit
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| Subject
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Wahrscheinlichkeit
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| Subject
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Subjectieve waarschijnlijkheid.
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| Dewey Classification
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519.2
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| LC Classification
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HA29.S8264 1994
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| NLM classification
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31.70bcl
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CM 3000rvk
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QH 170rvk
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QHh 170rvk
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| Added Entry
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Ayton, Peter.
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Wright, George,1952-
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