Document Type
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BL
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Record Number
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950429
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Doc. No
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b704799
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Main Entry
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Cline, William R.
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Title & Author
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The United States as a debtor nation /\ William R. Cline.
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Publication Statement
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Washington, DC :: Institute for International Economics :: Center for Global Development,, 2005.
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Page. NO
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1 online resource (xix, 304 pages) :: illustrations
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ISBN
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0881323993
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: 088132468X
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: 1281061018
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: 1435609158
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: 6611061010
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: 9780881323993
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: 9780881324686
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: 9781281061010
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: 9781435609150
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: 9786611061012
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Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references (pages 283-290) and index.
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Contents
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1. The international debt cycle and the United States as an external debtor -- The debt cycle -- Measuring the net international investment position -- The debt cycle in practice -- The global balance sheet discrepancy -- Debt cycle status and growth performance -- Appendix 1A. Estimating the net international investment position -- 2. Valuation effects, asymmetric returns, and economic net foreign assets -- US valuation effects -- US asymmetric capital returns -- Capital services and economic versus accounting net foreign assets -- Alternative measures : cash flow versus debt burden -- 3. Projecting the US current account deficit and net foreign assets -- A simple projection model -- Calibration and data -- Identifying the exchange rate lag -- Backcast performance -- Baseline projections -- Comparison with other projections -- Adjustment scenarios -- Impact parameters -- 4. US fiscal imbalance and the external deficit -- Understanding the linkages -- The decline in personal saving -- Fiscal outlook for 2005-10 -- Long-term fiscal problem -- General equilibrium framework -- Toward fiscal and external adjustment -- Appendix 4A. A simple general equilibrium model relating the trade and fiscal balances -- 5. Sustainability of the US current account deficit and the risk of crisis -- US share in global portfolios -- Debt ratios and critical thresholds -- Hard landing, long-term burden, and protectionist pressures -- The evolving crisis debate -- Appendix 5A. Key features of leading recent analyses -- 6. Impact of the US external imbalance on the rest of the world -- Impact on global demand -- Impact on interest rates -- Emerging-market capital supply and current account performance -- Developing-country reserves : burden or bonanza? -- East Asian exchange rate rigidity -- Achieving global adjustment -- Appendix 6A. Optimal exchange rate realignment -- Appendix 6B. Recent alternative profiles proposed for global adjustment -- 7. Principal findings and policy implications -- The international debt cycle -- Valuation effects, asymmetric returns, and economic net foreign assets -- Forecasting the US current account deficit and net foreign assets -- The role of fiscal adjustment -- Sustainability and risks of the current account deficit -- Global impact of US external imbalance -- Policy implication.
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Abstract
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The United States has once again entered into a period of large external imbalances. This study examines whether the large and growing current account deficit is a problem, and if so, how problem can be solved.
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Subject
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Balance of trade-- United States.
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Subject
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Debts, External-- United States.
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Subject
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Investments, American.
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Subject
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Balance commerciale-- États-Unis.
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Subject
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Dettes extérieures-- États-Unis.
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Subject
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Investissements américains.
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Subject
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Balance of trade.
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Subject
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BUSINESS ECONOMICS-- Public Finance.
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Subject
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Commercial policy.
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Subject
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Debt Management
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Subject
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Debts, External.
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Subject
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Handelsbilanz
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Subject
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Investments, American.
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Subject
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Buitenlandse schulden.
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Subject
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Handelsbalans.
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Subject
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Internationale leningen.
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Subject
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United States, Commercial policy.
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Subject
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États-Unis, Politique commerciale.
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Subject
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United States.
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Subject
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USA.
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Dewey Classification
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336.3/4/0973
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LC Classification
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HJ8119.C55 2005eb
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NLM classification
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83.44bcl
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Added Entry
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Center for Global Development.
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Institute for International Economics (U.S.)
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