Document Type
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BL
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Record Number
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966873
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Doc. No
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b721243
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Title & Author
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Managing risk in USAF force planning /\ Frank Camm [and others].
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Publication Statement
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Santa Monica, CA :: RAND,, 2009.
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Series Statement
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Rand Corporation monograph series ;; MG-827-AF.
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Page. NO
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xxix, 226 pages :: illustrations ;; 23 cm.
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ISBN
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0833046306
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: 9780833046307
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Notes
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"The research described in this report was sponsored by the United States Air Force."
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Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references (pages 217-226).
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Contents
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Introduction -- An analytic framework and risk scorecard to support strategic force planning -- Defining alternative futures -- Defining packages of policy options for risk analysis -- Assessing strategic risk -- Conclusion.
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Abstract
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The U.S. Department of Defense is currently shifting funding from future investment programs to cover urgent war needs, accepting some increase in future risk in order to reduce risk in the near term, and this tension between current and future operational priorities is likely to worsen. To effectively manage risk across possible missions and between today and tomorrow, senior Air Force leaders must make difficult decisions. This monograph seeks to provide the Air Force with a framework to structure their deliberations, connect them to supporting staff and expert inputs, and communicate their decisions to a broader audience. It describes a risk-management process that would help senior Air Force leaders to (1) focus planning on the most salient threats, (2) gain greater clarity on the risks associated with alternative courses of action across multiple futures, (3) maintain a sense of the persistent uncertainties associated with any policy choice, and (4) effectively communicate their judgments about risk to key audiences. -- back cover.
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Subject
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United States.-- Decision making.
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United States.-- Planning.
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United States.
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Subject
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Military planning-- United States.
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Subject
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Risk management-- United States.
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Subject
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Armed Forces-- Planning.
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Subject
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Military planning.
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Subject
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POLITICAL SCIENCE-- Political Freedom Security-- International Security.
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Subject
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Risk management.
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Subject
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TECHNOLOGY-- Military Science.
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Subject
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United States.
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Dewey Classification
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358.4/16840973
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LC Classification
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UG773.M36 2009
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Added Entry
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Camm, Frank A.,1949-
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Added Entry
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Project Air Force (U.S.)
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Rand Corporation.
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Parallel Title
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Managing risk in U.S.A.F. force planning
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: Managing risk in United States Air Force force planning
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