Document Type
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BL
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Record Number
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971849
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Doc. No
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b726219
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Main Entry
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Joyce, James M.,1958-
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Title & Author
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The foundations of causal decision theory /\ James M. Joyce.
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Publication Statement
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Cambridge ;New York :: Cambridge University Press,, ©1999.
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Page. NO
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1 online resource (xii, 268 pages)
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ISBN
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0511397321
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: 9780511397325
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0521641640
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9780511401046
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9780521641647
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Bibliographies/Indexes
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Includes bibliographical references (pages 258-264) and index.
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Contents
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Ch. 6. A General Theory of Conditional Beliefs -- Ch. 7. A Representation Theorem for Causal Decision Theory -- Ch. 8. Where Things Stand.
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Introduction: A Chance to Reconsider -- Ch. 1. Instrumental Rationality as Expected Utility Maximization -- Ch. 2. Decision Problems -- Ch. 3. Savage's Theory -- Ch. 4. Evidential Decision Theory -- Ch. 5. Causal Decision Theory.
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Abstract
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This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.
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Subject
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Decision making.
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Subject
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Decision making.
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Subject
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PHILOSOPHY-- Movements-- Humanism.
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Subject
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Besliskunde.
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Dewey Classification
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128/.3
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LC Classification
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BD184.J68 1999eb
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